Today's AFL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Wednesday 03/11

Alright, footy fans, let's dive into the numbers for this clash between the Melbourne Demons and the St Kilda Saints at the iconic MCG. Recent form paints a clear picture here. The Demons have been a force to be reckoned with, especially at home, boasting an average margin of 16 points in their last five games at the MCG. They've been firing on all cylinders, averaging a solid 95.4 points for and locking down defensively, conceding just 79.4 points on average. On the flip side, the Saints have struggled on the road, with an average margin of -9.4 in their last five away games. Their scoring output has been lackluster, managing only 73.6 points per game while leaking 83 points on average. With the Demons looking sharp and the Saints faltering away from home, backing Melbourne Demons +10.5 in the spread market seems like a savvy move.

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers : Under 178.5 Total Points (-116)

When Geelong Cats host Fremantle Dockers at GMHBA Stadium, expect a defensive showdown. Geelong, in their last five games, have tightened up their defense at home, allowing only an average of 80.6 points against. Their ability to restrict opponents' inside 50s to 59.6 and shots at goal to 32 demonstrates their defensive resilience. On the offensive end, they've been clinical with 16.4 target goals per game. Fremantle, on the road, have also been stingy, conceding just 82.2 points on average. With both teams showing defensive prowess and Geelong's slightly lower-scoring trend in recent matchups, the under 178.5 total points looks like a solid play for this clash between two disciplined sides. Get ready for a gritty, low-scoring affair under the Geelong lights.

Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers : Richmond Tigers 18.5 (-110)

Alright footy punters, let's dissect this matchup for Thursday's clash between the Carlton Blues and the Richmond Tigers at the iconic MCG. The Blues, despite an uptick in offensive production, have struggled defensively in their last five games, allowing an average of 86.8 points against at home and 86.4 points overall. On the flip side, the Tigers have been a force on the road, holding opponents to just 63 points on average and boasting a stout defense, conceding a mere 54.6 points overall. With the Tigers' recent form showing a significant margin improvement away from home (-47 average), backing them at +18.5 seems like a savvy play against a Blues team that could struggle to contain Richmond's offensive prowess. This one has all the makings of a high-scoring affair, favoring the underdog Tigers to cover the spread with their strong defensive display and offensive efficiency.

Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers : Richmond Tigers Win (+218)

When it comes to the upcoming clash between Carlton Blues and Richmond Tigers at the iconic MCG, recent form paints a vivid picture. Carlton, despite showing some grit, has struggled to convert possession into points, averaging just 77.4 points in their last 5 home games. On the flip side, Richmond has been a defensive powerhouse on the road, holding opponents to a mere 63 points on average. The Tigers' ability to disrupt play with an average of 56.8 intercepts per game could spell trouble for Carlton's forward line that has been managing only 11.6 goals per game at home. With Richmond's recent dominance away from home, boasting a solid -41.4 average margin, backing the Tigers to snag a win here seems like a savvy bet.

Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows : Adelaide Crows 5.5 (-111)

Alright, footy fanatics, let's dissect this clash between the Collingwood Magpies and the Adelaide Crows at the iconic MCG. The Crows are flying high, averaging a whopping 93.2 points in their last five away games, showcasing a potent attacking force led by a sharpshooting forward line that averages 29.2 shots at goal per game. On the flip side, the Magpies have been struggling to contain opposition attacks, conceding an average of 78.8 points at home recently. With the Crows boasting a strong +19.4 average margin in their away fixtures, taking them at +5.5 against a Magpies team that's been leaking points seems like a savvy move. Back Adelaide to capitalize on their scoring prowess and cover the spread as they look to soar past the Magpies in this Saturday showdown.