Deep dive into Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs. Find value betting opportunities. Find the 6 strongest team bets and lines. Check out AFL best bets, AFL team props, AFL picks today, AFL game odds.
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The bet on Brisbane Lions -9.5 is supported by their solid recent form at home, averaging a 6.8 point margin and 89.4 points scored in their last five home games. In contrast, the Western Bulldogs have struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of 92.6 points in their recent away matches. With the Lions boasting higher averages in Inside50s, Shotsatgoal, and Target Goals compared to the Bulldogs, it indicates a stronger attacking prowess for Brisbane. Considering the Bulldogs' average margin of 20.8 in their last five away games, the Lions are well-positioned to cover the spread at the Gabba based on their offensive efficiency and the Bulldogs' defensive vulnerabilities.
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Based on the recent performance data, St Kilda Saints have shown stronger defensive capabilities compared to the Geelong Cats. The Saints' average points against and margin in their last five away games are more favorable than the Cats'. Additionally, St Kilda's ability to limit their turnovers and control their inside 50s could give them an edge in this matchup. While Geelong has a solid home record, the Saints' recent form suggests they could capitalize on their defensive strengths to secure a win. Betting on St Kilda Saints as the match winner seems justified given their defensive prowess and the statistical advantages they hold in key areas over the Geelong Cats.
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The bet on North Melbourne Kangaroos +27.5 is supported by their recent performance compared to Melbourne Demons. North Melbourne, despite their away status, has shown a tighter margin averaging -16.2 in their last five away games, while Melbourne only averages 0.4 in their last five at home. With North Melbourne conceding 90.4 points on average compared to Melbourne's 77.6 points against at home, the Kangaroos could restrict the Demons' scoring opportunities. North Melbourne's ability to stay within the spread is further evidenced by their comparable average target goals and points scored per game. This suggests that North Melbourne has the potential to keep the game close and cover the spread against Melbourne.
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The bet on West Coast Eagles -6.5 is backed by their stronger recent performance metrics compared to Richmond Tigers. West Coast has shown improvement in their offensive output with more Inside50s, Shotsatgoal, and higher Points For averages in their last five games, indicating an uptick in scoring potential. Meanwhile, Richmond has struggled defensively, conceding more Points Against on average in both home and away games. With West Coast's recent form suggesting they can outscore Richmond, the bet on West Coast Eagles -6.5 seems justified, especially considering the Eagles' home advantage at Optus Stadium in Perth.
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Despite West Coast Eagles' recent struggles on the road, their ability to generate inside 50s and shots at goal is evident. Port Adelaide Power, while strong defensively, has shown vulnerability in conceding points and allowing shots on goal. With West Coast Eagles averaging more inside 50s and shots at goal compared to Port Adelaide's L5 defensive record, the Eagles have the potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Additionally, Port Adelaide's margin average at home is close to the +42.5 spread, suggesting they may not dominate to the extent required to cover the spread. Considering these factors, the bet on West Coast Eagles +42.5 presents value based on their offensive capabilities and Port Adelaide's defensive weaknesses.
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The bet on North Melbourne Kangaroos to win against Sydney Swans is supported by their recent performance metrics. Despite being the away team, the Kangaroos have shown a stronger average in key areas like contested possessions, inside 50s, and shots at goal compared to the Swans. Additionally, North Melbourne's ability to maintain a competitive average margin and limit points against them gives them an edge over the Swans who have struggled defensively. With the Kangaroos also having a better record in recent away games, their potential to outperform the Swans is evident. Considering these factors, the statistical advantage lies with North Melbourne, making them a favorable bet for the match winner market.
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