Today's MLB Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds : Moneyline & Totals Analysis

The 'Under 10' bet is a solid choice for the Cardinals vs Cubs game, given the recent performance data. The Cardinals' average runs scored at home over the last five games is 3.6, while the Cubs average 5.6 runs on the road. Combined, this is well under the line of 10. Furthermore, the Cardinals have been strong defensively at home, allowing an average of only 1.4 runs. The Cubs have also been decent on defense away from home, allowing an average of 3.4 runs. This suggests a lower-scoring game. Additionally, the model prediction is 7.44, significantly below the line. The Cardinals' recent record against the Cubs is poor (1-4), indicating struggles in producing high run totals. This data-driven analysis supports the 'Under 10' bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 10.5 Total Runs (-213)

The bet on 'Under 10.5' for the Total Runs in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is a good choice based on several key statistics. Firstly, both teams have lower average runs scored in their last 5 games than the line of 10.5, with the Cardinals at 4.2 and the Cubs at 6.8. Additionally, the Cardinals have a strong home record of allowing only 1.4 runs on average in their last 5 games, which should limit the Cubs' scoring. The predicted model score is also significantly under the line at 7.44. Furthermore, the Cardinals' batting average of 6.8 and the Cubs' of 10.6 are not high enough to suggest a high-scoring game. Lastly, the Cardinals' average strikeouts at home are higher than their overall average, indicating good defensive play. These factors collectively suggest a lower scoring game, making 'Under 10.5' a solid bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-303)

The 'Under 11.5' bet for the Total Runs in the Cardinals vs Cubs game is a solid choice based on recent performance data. The Cardinals have been struggling offensively, averaging just 4.2 runs in their last 5 games, with a lower 3.6 average at home. Their pitching has been stronger, allowing only 1.4 runs at home. The Cubs, while stronger offensively with an average of 6.8 runs, see a decrease to 5.6 when playing away. Their defensive record also improves on the road, allowing only 3.4 runs. Based on these figures, even a high-scoring game would likely stay under the 11.5 total. Furthermore, both teams' averages for hits and home runs also support a lower scoring game. The model prediction of 7.44 total runs aligns with these statistics, providing a strong rationale for the 'Under 11.5' bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 9.5 Total Runs (-147)

The 'Under 9.5' bet for the Total Runs market in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is a solid choice based on the provided statistics. The Cardinals have been underperforming recently, with an overall record of 1-4 and an average of 4.2 runs scored in their last 5 games. Even when playing at home, their run average is only 3.6. Additionally, they have a strong defensive record at home, allowing an average of just 1.4 runs. The Cubs, while scoring higher with an average of 6.8 runs, also have a good defensive record, allowing an average of 3.4 runs when playing away. The combined average runs of both teams in their last 5 games is 8, which is significantly lower than the line set at 9.5. This, along with the model prediction of 7.44, makes the 'Under 9.5' bet a statistically sound choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs : Under 11 Total Runs (-263)

The 'Under 11' bet for the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs game is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, both teams' recent scoring averages are below the line of 11, with the Cardinals averaging 3.6 runs at home and the Cubs averaging 5.6 runs away. Additionally, the Cardinals' home record against the Cubs is 1-4, suggesting that their run production may be lower in this matchup. Furthermore, the Cardinals have allowed an average of just 1.4 runs at home, and the Cubs have allowed an average of 3.4 runs away, which further supports the likelihood of a low-scoring game. Lastly, the model prediction of 7.44 runs is well below the line, implying a high probability of the total runs being under 11. These statistics collectively make a compelling case for the 'Under 11' bet.