Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs Win (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Chicago Cubs are a solid bet for this game based on their recent performance. The Cubs have been scoring an average of 6.8 runs overall in their last five games and 5.6 runs in their recent away games, which is higher than the Reds' average of 4.8 runs at home. The Cubs also have a better defensive record, allowing only 3.4 runs in their last five away games compared to the Reds who have allowed an average of 4.4 runs at home. The head-to-head record also favors the Cubs, who have won three out of the last five games against the Reds. These statistics indicate a stronger offensive and defensive performance by the Cubs, making them a good choice for the Moneyline bet.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants : Under 15.5 Total Runs (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 15.5 bet is well-supported by the teams' recent performance data. The Dodgers and Giants have shown moderate scoring in their recent games, with the Dodgers averaging 4.4 runs and the Giants 2.4 runs in their last five games respectively. This combined average of 6.8 is significantly lower than the line of 15.5. Additionally, both teams' batting averages are moderate, with the Dodgers hitting 5.8 and the Giants 6.8 on average. The teams also have strong pitching records, with the Dodgers allowing an average of 3.6 runs and the Giants 4.4 runs in their recent games. These stats suggest a lower scoring game. The lower than average home runs hit by both teams further supports this. Lastly, the high average strikeouts and low walks indicate strong defensive play, further suggesting a low scoring game.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians : Minnesota Twins Win (+106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Despite the Minnesota Twins' recent overall record, the team has performed better at home, with a 3-2 record and an average of 3.4 runs scored in their last five home games. This suggests they play stronger on their home field. Additionally, the Cleveland Guardians have been struggling on the road, allowing an average of 5.2 runs in their last five away games, which is significantly higher than the Twins' 2.8 runs allowed at home. This indicates the Guardians' defense is weaker when playing away. The Twins' home field advantage and the Guardians' poor away defense make the Twins a good choice for the moneyline market. The model prediction and edge also favor the Twins, further supporting this betting decision.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians : Minnesota Twins Win (+104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Minnesota Twins are a solid bet for the Moneyline market. Despite their recent overall record, they've performed well at home, boasting a 3-2 record in their last 5 games. They've also demonstrated a stronger defensive performance at home, allowing an average of just 2.8 runs, compared to their overall average of 4.2. This is significantly better than the Cleveland Guardians' away defensive record, which stands at an average of 5.2 runs allowed. Looking at the offensive performance, the Twins' home scoring average of 3.4 runs is higher than the Guardians' away scoring average of 3 runs. The Twins' strong home performance, both offensively and defensively, makes them a good bet for the Moneyline market.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals : New York Mets Win (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The New York Mets are a strong bet for this game, as their recent performance data shows a clear advantage over the Washington Nationals. The Mets have a strong home record, winning 4 out of their last 5 games at home, and have dominated the Nationals in recent matchups, winning all of their last 5 encounters. Their offensive performance has also been superior, averaging 4.4 runs scored per game compared to the Nationals' 2.3. Defensively, the Mets have been more effective in limiting their opponents' scoring, allowing an average of 2.6 runs per game, while the Nationals have conceded an average of 3.7 runs. This combination of strong offensive and defensive performance makes the Mets a solid choice for this bet.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals : New York Mets Win (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New York Mets are a strong bet for the Moneyline market based on their recent performance data. Their overall and home record in the last five games is 4-1, demonstrating a consistent winning trend. The Mets' scoring average in these games is 4.4 runs, significantly higher than the Nationals' average of 2.3 runs. Additionally, their record against the Nationals is undefeated at 5-0, indicating a clear upper hand in head-to-head matchups. The Mets also have a lower average of runs allowed (2.6) compared to the Nationals (3.7), suggesting a stronger defensive performance. This combination of strong offense, solid defense, and proven track record against the Nationals makes the Mets a rational choice for this bet.

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