Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Wednesday 01/07

The Miami Heat have a stronger recent performance compared to the Minnesota Timberwolves, with an overall last five games (L5) record of 4-1 compared to the Timberwolves' 3-2. The Heat also have a higher overall L5 team score (121.4) than the Timberwolves (117.4). Furthermore, the Heat's defense has been superior, with an overall L5 opponent team score of 110.4, indicating they allow fewer points than the Timberwolves' 114.2. The Heat's superior offense and defense, combined with their recent winning record, suggest they can cover a 7.5 point spread against the Timberwolves.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat : Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (-110)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are a strong bet with a -7 point spread. Their overall home record is solid, with a 3-2 win-loss ratio in the last 5 games, and their scoring average at home is higher than Miami Heat's on the road (111.2 vs 107.8). Although Miami has performed well recently with a 4-1 away record, Minnesota's home defense has been impressive, allowing fewer points on average (113.2) than Miami's away defense (105.4). Additionally, the teams' head-to-head record is even at 1-1, suggesting a competitive match-up. A combination of Minnesota's strong home performance and Miami's slightly weaker road defense make a bet on Minnesota covering the point spread a reasoned choice, backed by the statistics.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers : New Orleans Pelicans Under 129.5 Team Total Points (-526)

The New Orleans Pelicans have consistently scored under 129.5 points in their recent games. Their overall average score for the last five games is 116.8, significantly lower than the bet's outcome point. Even when playing at home, their score over the last five games averages 118.2. Additionally, the model prediction for this game is 117.92 points, supporting the trend of scoring below the 129.5 mark. Moreover, their opponents, the Los Angeles Lakers, have allowed an average of 113.4 points at their last five away games, which is significantly less than the point total of the bet. Therefore, based on historical performance and the model prediction, the bet on the New Orleans Pelicans scoring under 129.5 points is statistically backed.

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs : Memphis Grizzlies Over 106.5 Team Total Points (-556)

The bet on 'Memphis Grizzlies Over 106.5' for the Team Total Points is a good choice given the Grizzlies' strong recent scoring performance. Despite a mixed overall record, the Grizzlies have been performing strongly at home, with a 4-1 home record in their last five games. Their scoring has been particularly impressive, averaging 124.6 points at home in their last five games, which is significantly above the 106.5 point line for this bet. Furthermore, the model prediction for this game is 124.03 points, adding further confidence in the Grizzlies' scoring ability. While they've conceded an average of 113.2 points at home, this does not impact the bet as it's only concerned with the Grizzlies' scoring.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers : Los Angeles Lakers -6 (-114)

The Los Angeles Lakers have a strong case for overcoming a -6 point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Lakers have a superior record in their last 5 games, both overall (4-1) and against the Pelicans (3-1). Furthermore, the Lakers have consistently outscored the Pelicans, with an average score of 127.2 to 116.8 in the last 5 games. Even when playing away, the Lakers average score (126.2) still eclipses the Pelicans' home score (118.2). The Lakers also seem to have a slight edge defensively, with their opponents scoring slightly less on average (117.6) than the Pelicans' opponents (118.2). This collective data suggests the Lakers are statistically likely to cover the -6 point spread.