Today's NBA Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Wednesday 05/28

The bet on 'New York Knicks Under 119.5' is a statistically sound choice given the team's recent performance. While the Knicks have an impressive overall score in their last five games (125.4), their score drops to 119.8 when only considering away games, barely over the predicted outcome point. Furthermore, the model prediction of 97.9 suggests a significant underperformance compared to the outcome point of 119.5. This is further supported by the Knicks' away record in the last five games (2-3), indicating a struggle to maintain their performance on the road. Finally, the implied probability of 87.7% shows a high likelihood of the Knicks scoring under 119.5 points, making this bet a wise choice.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 104.5 Team Total Points (-625)

The bet on 'Oklahoma City Thunder Over 104.5' for the Team Total Points is appealing due to the Thunder's recent scoring trends. Over their last five games, the Thunder has averaged 117.8 points overall and an even more impressive 119.6 points at home. These figures are significantly higher than the 104.5-point total for this bet, suggesting that the Thunder is likely to surpass this total based on recent performance. Furthermore, even though their record over the last five games is slightly skewed towards losses, their high-scoring performance has remained consistent. Therefore, the bet is backed by the Thunder's proven scoring ability, particularly in home games.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves : Oklahoma City Thunder win (-370)

Despite Oklahoma City Thunder's recent head-to-head record against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Thunder are the preferred bet in this match-up. The Thunder have shown strength at home, scoring an average of 119.6 points in their last 5 games, which is higher than the Timberwolves' average score of 115.2 in their last 5 away games. Additionally, the Thunder's recent home record stands at 3-2, indicating a strong performance on their home court. This, combined with the model prediction favoring the Thunder, suggests that they have a high chance of winning this game. Therefore, the data supports a bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder for the Moneyline market in this game.

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks : Under 246.5 Total Points (-3333)

The bet on 'Under 246.5' points for the Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks game is primarily based on the model prediction, which estimates a total of only 206.33 points scored in this game. This is significantly lower than the betting line of 246.5 points. Both teams' recent scoring trends support this bet. The Pacers have averaged 122.2 points and the Knicks 125.4 points in their last five games, which together only amount to 247.6 points, very close to the bet threshold. Additionally, when considering their away and home performances respectively, both teams' scores drop further, to 121 points for the Pacers and 119.8 points for the Knicks, making the combined average even less than the betting line. The teams' defensive statistics also favor an 'Under' bet, as their respective opponents' scores in the last five games do not significantly exceed the bet line.