Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic : Orlando Magic 6.5 (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Orlando Magic is a smart bet here, given a generous 6.5-point buffer. A look at their past games tells us they're keeping their opponents in check, with an average opponent score of just 111.4 points on the road, close to the Timberwolves' home game average of 111.2 points. The Timberwolves might have a slight upper hand in recent home games, but their advantage diminishes when we focus on their performances against the Magic, standing at an equal 1-1 record. The Magic, despite a struggling away record, have managed to maintain a decent score average of 104.6 points on the road, not far from their overall average of 105.8. With these points in consideration, it seems plausible that the Magic can keep this game within the 6.5-point spread.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic : Minnesota Timberwolves Under 126.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet rides on the Minnesota Timberwolves' recent scoring trend. If we look at the Timberwolves' last five games overall, they've averaged a modest 117.4 points, well below the 126.5 point threshold. This trend dips even lower when they're playing at home, with an average of 111.2 points. The Timberwolves are facing the Orlando Magic who've recently shown defensive prowess, holding their opponents to an average of 113.2 points in their last five games. Given this, our model predicts the Timberwolves to score around 116.24 points, a significant drop from the 126.5 points set for this bet. In a nutshell, the Timberwolves' recent scoring trends combined with the Magic's solid defence make the 'Under 126.5' a compelling choice.

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