Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 06/21 (Cason Wallace Highlights): Best Value Bets

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 5.5 Points + Assists (-135)

Cason Wallace is playing at home where his performance has historically been stronger. In the last five games at home, he averages 6.8 points and 1.8 assists, which adds up to 8.6, well above the over point of 5.5. His home hit rate over the last 11 games is also impressive, with 10 out of 11 being successful. Additionally, when playing against the Pacers at home, his average points and assists increase even further to 9.2 and 1 respectively. Given these strong home and opponent-specific performances, and the fact that his expected statistical value is 9.85, there is solid statistical support for betting on Cason Wallace to go over 5.5 points + assists in the upcoming game against the Pacers.

Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points (-132)

Tyrese Haliburton's statistical performance provides strong support for a bet on him exceeding 14.5 points in the upcoming game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. His average over the last five games is 15 points, slightly above the threshold. Importantly, his specific performance against this opponent also points towards a favorable outcome, with an average of 15 points in the last five games against the Thunder. Additionally, his expected stat value of 18.03 indicates that he's anticipated to exceed the 14.5 point mark. Although his average away points are slightly lower at 11.4, his overall and away hit rates of 12 out of the last 19 games demonstrate a consistent ability to surpass the 14.5 point mark. Thus, the data suggests a high probability that Haliburton will score over 14.5 points.

Tyrese Haliburton (Sacramento Kings) Over 14.5 Points (-132)

Betting on Tyrese Haliburton to score over 14.5 points in the upcoming game against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a data-driven decision. The projected stat value is 18.03, which is notably higher than the outcome point of 14.5. Haliburton's recent performance supports this bet as he has achieved an average of 15 points in his last five games overall, slightly above the targeted outcome point. His performance against the Thunder also indicates a likelihood of surpassing the 14.5 threshold, as his average points scored against this team is 15. Additionally, his hit rate, both overall and away, in the last 19 games is 63.15% (12 out of 19), suggesting a significant chance he will exceed the specified point total. Despite his slightly lower average away score (11.4), these figures collectively suggest a high probability of Haliburton meeting the over 14.5 point bet.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 0.5 Blocks (-189)

The statistical data strongly supports a bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to achieve over 0.5 blocks in the upcoming game. His past performance indicates consistent blocking ability, with an average of 1.8 blocks overall and 1 block at home in his last five games. Furthermore, his performance against this specific opponent, the Indiana Pacers, mirrors his overall average with 1.8 blocks and 1.2 blocks at home. This shows his ability to maintain his performance level regardless of the opposing team. Additionally, his overall hit rate for the last five games is 80%, and his home hit rate for the last three games is 66.67%, both of which exceed the implied probability of 65.4%. This suggests that Gilgeous-Alexander is likely to exceed 0.5 blocks in the game against the Pacers.

Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors) Over 1.5 Turnovers (-179)

Betting on Pascal Siakam to exceed 1.5 turnovers in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers is statistically supported by his recent performance data. His average turnovers in the last five overall games is 2, indicating he typically exceeds the 1.5 turnovers mark. This trend is even more pronounced in away games, where his average rises to 2.4 turnovers. Furthermore, when considering his specific performance against the Oklahoma City Thunder at an away status, Siakam averages 2.2 turnovers. His consistency in exceeding the 1.5 turnovers threshold is also reflected in his hit rate in the last four away games, where he's hit over 1.5 turnovers 3 out of 4 times. These consistent statistics suggest a strong likelihood of Siakam committing more than 1.5 turnovers in the upcoming game.

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 1.5 Turnovers (-179)

The bet on Pascal Siakam for Over 1.5 turnovers in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game is backed by a consistent pattern in his recent performance statistics. On average, Siakam has made 2 turnovers overall in his last 5 games, and this number increases to 2.4 turnovers when considering only away games. This trend indicates that Siakam is more prone to turnovers when playing away, which is the case for this particular matchup. Furthermore, when faced with the same opponent, Siakam has averaged 2 turnovers, and 2.2 in away games. This suggests that the Oklahoma City Thunder's defense may particularly challenge him. Finally, Siakam's turnover rate in the last 4 away games has exceeded 1.5 in three out of four instances, which further supports the bet.