Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 03/15 (DeMar DeRozan Highlights): Finding the Edge

As the Bucks host the Pacers, all eyes are on Kevin Porter Jr., but a closer look at his recent form suggests a solid case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 26.5. Over his last five games, Porter has averaged only 11.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists, totaling around 20.2-well below our target. At home, his numbers aren't significantly better, with 13 points and 4 assists. The Pacers have also been tough defensively against him, limiting him to 11.2 points and just 3.6 rebounds on average in their last matchup. Given that he's hit the under in four of his last five outings, and with an impressive home hit rate of 14 out of 17, it seems prudent to bank on Porter falling short of that 26.5 mark again this Sunday.

Ivica Zubac (LA Clippers) Over 15.5 Points + Assists (-132)

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers, Ivica Zubac is standing out as a prime candidate for the Over on 15.5 points plus assists. With an average of 17 points and nearly 2 assists in his last five games, Zubac's offensive rhythm is clearly building. When he plays at home, those numbers tick up to 18.2 points-evidence of his comfort in familiar surroundings. The Pacers have struggled with defending perimeter players, and Zubac has capitalized on that weakness, averaging 12.4 points against them in their recent outings. Plus, with an impressive hit rate of 17 out of his last 19 games hitting this mark, there's a strong trend in his favor. Given the stakes and his recent form, banking on Zubac to exceed 15.5 points and assists feels like a solid move.

Dennis Schroder (Detroit Pistons) Over 5.5 Rebounds + Assists (-145)

In the upcoming matchup between the Cavaliers and Mavericks, Dennis Schroder presents a compelling case for exceeding 5.5 combined rebounds and assists. His recent form, averaging 2.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists over the last five games, hints at a player increasingly involved in his team's playmaking and defensive efforts. Historically, when facing Dallas, he has upped his game, averaging 5.6 assists, which aligns well with the Mavericks' tendency to lose track of crafty guards.As the Cavaliers look to establish control at home, Schroder's ability to contribute across multiple facets of the game becomes even more vital. With the Cavaliers' offensive tempo and the Mavericks' lackluster defense against penetrating guards, it's reasonable to expect Schroder to hit that 5.5 mark comfortably. Given his impressive 60% hit rate in similar scenarios, betting on him to go over feels like a smart play.

Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)

Evan Mobley has been an integral part of the Cavaliers' lineup, but as they gear up to face the Mavericks at home, the numbers suggest he might fall short of the 31.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists mark. Over his last five games, he's averaged 17.8 points, 9.2 rebounds, and just 1.6 assists. Even at home, where he typically puts up slightly better numbers, he's still only hitting 18.8 points and 9.2 rebounds. Against Dallas, he averages 19.8 points, but with the Mavericks' defensive prowess, it's unlikely he'll hit those marks today. Moreover, his overall performance indicates that he's been trending downward, with a hit rate of just 66.7% in his last nine games for this prop. With an expected stat value of 27.68, the under looks promising, especially with the Cavaliers aiming to tighten up defensively against a potent Mavericks

Isaiah Hartenstein (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122)

As the Thunder gear up to face the Timberwolves, all eyes should be on Isaiah Hartenstein, but not in the way you might expect. With a projected combined total of 20.5 for points, rebounds, and assists, the under seems like the smart play here. Hartenstein's recent performance reveals some telling trends: he's averaging just 5.4 points and 6 rebounds over his last five games, and at home, those numbers only slightly improve to 6.2 points and 7.8 rebounds. Against Minnesota, he's been even less impactful, averaging 6.8 points and 6.6 rebounds. With a hit rate of 14 out of his last 14 games on the under, including a perfect 8-for-8 at home, the data paints a clear picture. Hartenstein might thrive in other areas, but when it comes to racking up those cumulative stats, the under feels like a solid bet.