Noah Clowney (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Noah Clowney for Under 4.5 rebounds in the Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat game is supported by several key statistics. Over the last five games, Clowney's average rebounds overall is only 3.2, which is significantly below the bet's threshold of 4.5. His performance at home is slightly better with an average of 4.2 rebounds, but still under 4.5. When facing Miami Heat, his average rebounds drops further to 3.3, and falls to 2.5 when playing at home against this team. Furthermore, Clowney's overall hit rate for the last nine games is 6/9, and his home hit rate for the last three is 2/3. All these stats indicate that it's statistically likely that Clowney will have fewer than 4.5 rebounds in the upcoming game.
Noah Clowney (Brooklyn Nets) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistically, Noah Clowney consistently falls under the 2.5 three-point field goal threshold. His average three-point field goals made in the last five overall games is 1.6, and his average in the last five home games is 2.4, both under the bet point of 2.5. Furthermore, when specifically facing the Miami Heat, his average three-point field goals made is 2.3 and drops further to 1.5 when playing at home against this team. Additionally, Clowney's overall hit rate in the last four games stands at 75% (3/4) and is even higher when considering the last 20 home games at 75% (15/20). These statistics suggest a strong tendency towards scoring fewer than 2.5 three-point field goals, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.
Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Alperen Sengun to finish under 38.5 points, rebounds, and assists against the New Orleans Pelicans is grounded in his recent performance data. His last five overall averages are 20.6 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 5.8 assists. This total of 38 is lower than the proposed outcome point of 38.5. Additionally, when looking at Sengun's last five away games, his combined average is 39.8, which is closer but still under the proposed outcome point. Moreover, Sengun's average performance against the Pelicans, specifically when playing away, is 34.4 - significantly lower than the betting line. Finally, the overall hit rate in his last 18 games and the away hit rate in his last 8 games (12/18 and 5/8 respectively) also suggests that it's more likely for him to finish under 38.5 in the combined stats
Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Yes Double-Double (-133)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Alperen Sengun's performance statistics suggest a strong chance for him to achieve a double-double in the upcoming game against the New Orleans Pelicans. Over his last five games, Sengun has averaged 20.6 points and 11.6 rebounds, exceeding the double-double threshold. Moreover, his performance tends to improve when playing away games, as evidenced by his averages of 23.8 points and 11.8 rebounds in the last five away games. His hit rate for achieving a double-double is also significant, with five out of the last six overall games and a perfect record in the last five away games. Additionally, even when specifically playing against the Pelicans, Sengun maintains strong averages of 20.4 points and 8.6 rebounds away from home. These statistics imply a high likelihood of Sengun achieving a double-double in the upcoming game.
Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Yes Triple-Double (+650)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet for Alperen Sengun achieving a triple-double in the upcoming game against the New Orleans Pelicans is supported by his strong recent performances. Sengun's average figures over the last five games show he is capable of producing the necessary points, rebounds, and assists to achieve a triple-double. His away game stats of 23.8 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 4.2 assists suggest he performs even better on the road. Additionally, Sengun's past statistics against this opponent indicate he can deliver in this specific matchup, with averages of 20.4 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists from previous away games against the Pelicans. While his assists average is slightly below the target, his overall averages suggest he has the potential to reach the necessary assists to complete a triple-double.
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