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AFL

Angus Sheldrick

Sydney Swans

+16.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 19.5 -120 (1.83)
+16.3% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Fri 25 Jul, 9:50AM
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+16.3%
Predicted Value
16.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) Under 19.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Angus Sheldrick's recent performance, especially in away games, indicates he may struggle to reach over 19.5 disposals. With an average of 19.4 disposals in his last five away games and facing the GWS Giants, against whom he averages only 8 disposals, Sheldrick's trend suggests he may fall short. His turnover average of 3 per game and the Giants' defensive pressure further support this bet. Despite his solid form, the model's prediction of 16.7 disposals with a standard deviation of 5 gives a significant 16.3% edge, making the under 19.5 disposals for Sheldrick a favorable choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Angus Sheldrick (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Angus Sheldrick is Under 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Friday 25 July at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.