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AFL

Brodie Grundy

Sydney Swans

+11.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -455 (1.22)
+11.8% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
93.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+11.8%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) Over 10.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brodie Grundy, the maestro of the midfield, is poised to dominate the stat sheet against Hawthorn. In his last five away clashes, Grundy has been a possession magnet, averaging a hefty 18.6 disposals per game. His recent form screams consistency, with an impressive 100% hit rate in surpassing the 10.5 disposal line. When facing Hawthorn, Grundy has elevated his game, averaging 13.3 disposals per encounter. With his knack for contested possessions (12.2 avg) and sublime disposal efficiency (68.5%), Grundy is primed to orchestrate the Swans' midfield orchestra at the MCG. Expect Grundy to not just meet but exceed expectations, racking up possessions like a seasoned pro. Betting on Grundy to snag over 10.5 disposals is a wager backed by a compelling narrative of dominance and reliability in the heart of the action.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 58.3% (7/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 58.3% (7/12). The latest model pick for Brodie Grundy is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.