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AFL

Conor Nash

Hawthorn

+1.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.2% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 11 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
88.9%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Conor Nash (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Conor Nash for the Hawthorn Hawks taking on the Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five home games, Nash has been a midfield maestro, averaging nearly 20 disposals per game. His recent form against the Bulldogs has been solid too, with an average of 18.7 disposals in his last five encounters. Nash's ability to find the footy is matched by his efficiency, boasting a solid 75.8% disposal efficiency at home. With a current hit streak of 11 at home and 16 overall, Nash is in red-hot form. The data suggests he's primed to not just meet but surpass the 14.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. Conor Nash looks set to be a key playmaker, making the over on disposals an enticing bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Conor Nash (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Conor Nash is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 11 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.