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AFL

James Harmes

Western Bulldogs

+1.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -222 (1.45)
+1.3% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 12 Jun, 9:30AM
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value
17.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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James Harmes (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

James Harmes is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals in the upcoming game against St Kilda. With a model-predicted average of 17.2 disposals, a 1.3% edge, and recent form averaging 19.4 disposals in away games, Harmes showcases consistent performance. His 70.0% disposal efficiency and strong metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and intercepts further support this bet. Facing an opponent he averages 16 disposals against, Harmes' current hit streak of 3 and overall hit rate of 3/3 indicate reliability. These factors align to suggest a high probability of exceeding the set line, making him a favorable pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 14.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James Harmes (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for James Harmes is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints on Thursday 12 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.