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AFL

Joel Amartey

Sydney Swans

+8.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+8.4% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
92.4%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+8.4%
Predicted Value
1.6 Goals

AI Analysis

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Joel Amartey (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-526)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Joel Amartey, the Swans' sharpshooter, is set to light up the MCG against the Hawks. With an impressive average of 1.6 goals per game in his last five away matches, Amartey is a genuine scoring threat. His accuracy near the big sticks, hovering around 49.3%, showcases his ability to convert opportunities into majors. Add in his solid marks inside 50 (2.8 avg) and consistent shot volume (3.8 avg), and you have a player primed to snag a goal. Facing a Hawthorn side where he's netted 1 goal per game in their recent matchups, Amartey's current form, with a streak of 3 goals in the bag, makes him a compelling bet to split the middle at least once. Betting Over 0.5 goals for Amartey is a smart play with a high probability of cashing in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Joel Amartey (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Joel Amartey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.