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AFL

Josh Ward

Hawthorn

+8.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -115 (1.87)
+8.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
61.8%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value
21.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Under 22.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Josh Ward hitting the Under 22.5 disposals mark against the Greater Western Sydney Giants, the numbers paint a clear picture. In his last five away games, Ward has averaged 17.8 disposals, falling below the set line. Against the upcoming opponent, his average sits at 17.5 disposals. Despite his overall season average of 19.2 disposals, recent trends show he's been hovering around this line. His disposal efficiency has been solid at 74.0%, but the contested possessions average of 7 and turnover rate of 2.8 per game suggest he may not hit the higher disposal numbers consistently. With an implied probability of 53.5% for this bet, the data indicates Ward is more likely to stay under the set line, making this a favorable wager for the savvy punter.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Ward is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 March at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.