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AFL

Lachie Neale

Brisbane Lions

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -769 (1.13)
+3.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney
Sat 14 Mar, 8:10AM
Model Probability
91.6%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
27.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to counting possessions, Lachie Neale is a seasoned maestro on the footy field. In his last five away games, he's been a disposals-gathering machine, averaging a whopping 30.4 possessions per match. Against the upcoming opponent, the Sydney Swans, he's maintained a solid average of 27.3 disposals over the same period. Neale's ability to find the footy is unparalleled, with a knack for racking up kicks (14.4 on average) and handballs (16 on average) with impressive disposal efficiency (69.3%). With his recent form and matchup history pointing towards another stellar performance, backing Neale to surpass 20.5 disposals in this clash seems like a bet with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 23.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Lachie Neale is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 14 March at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.