Rowan Marshall (St Kilda) Over 11.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to backing a player prop in the AFL, there's a lot to consider. In this clash between the St Kilda Saints and the Brisbane Lions at Marvel Stadium, Rowan Marshall stands out for the 'Disposals Over' market. Marshall has been a workhorse at home, averaging 16.4 disposals over his last five games, including a solid 17 against the Lions in their previous encounter. His recent form is red-hot, with an impressive 11-game hit streak at home and an overall hit rate of 13 out of 14. With a model prediction of 17.8 disposals and a 7.8% edge, the data suggests Marshall is primed to surpass the 11.5 disposals line comfortably. Bet confidently on Marshall to keep his possession game strong in this crucial contest.