Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Sam Day

Brisbane Lions

+14.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -185 (1.54)
+14.2% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 5 Jul, 9:35AM
Model Probability
79.1%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+14.2%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sam Day (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-185)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

In the upcoming AFL clash at the Gabba, Brisbane Lions' Sam Day is poised to be a key player to watch against Port Adelaide Power. Bettors looking at the 'player_goal_scorer_anytime' market will find enticing prospects with Day’s line set at 0.5 goals, with favorable odds of 1.54 (-185.19 in American odds). This indicates a strong likelihood of Day finding the back of the net at least once during the match. Given his recent form and performance consistency, punters are considering this a value bet. Over his last five games, Day has consistently contributed to Brisbane’s attacking prowess. Operating at his home venue, the Gabba, adds an additional layer of comfort and confidence to his performance. The Lions have been formidable on their turf, making it an advantageous setting for Day to continue his goal-scoring streak. With Port Adelaide’s defense facing challenges in recent outings, particularly away from home, Day's chances of scoring are amplified. This matchup presents a promising opportunity for AFL bettors to capitalize on Day’s goal-scoring capability, especially considering the favorable odds and his current form.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Sam Day (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Sam Day is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 5 July at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.