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AFL

Tom De Koning

St Kilda

+14.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 17.5 -130 (1.77)
+14.4% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sat 21 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
70.9%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+14.4%
Predicted Value
14.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom De Koning (St Kilda) Under 17.5 Disposals (-130)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Tom De Koning's recent form and matchup against GWS, betting Under 17.5 disposals seems like a smart play. Over his last five away games, he's averaged 16.2 disposals, just under the line. Plus, in the same period, he's only managed an average of 13.8 disposals against GWS specifically. His recent contested possessions average of 7 also falls below the threshold. With De Koning's hit rate trending downwards and his disposals likely to be limited by GWS's pressure, the Under looks like a solid bet here. Trust the numbers and expect De Koning to struggle to hit the 17.5 mark in this clash at ENGIE Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tom De Koning (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom De Koning is Under 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 21 March at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.