Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Tom Lynch

Richmond

+12.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+12.8% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 9 Aug, 3:20AM
Model Probability
97.6%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
2.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tom Lynch (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom Lynch is a strong candidate to score anytime against St Kilda based on his recent performance trends. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and a consistent 51.3% goal accuracy, Lynch has been a reliable finisher. His involvement in the Tigers' forward play is evident with 4.8 score involvements per game. Against St Kilda, he has maintained an average of 1 goal per game in their last encounters. With an average of 3.6 shots at goal and 2.2 inside 50s in his recent home games, Lynch is often in scoring positions. Given his solid form and the model's prediction of 2 goals, Lynch is poised to surpass the over 0.5 goal line set by sportsbet.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals 1.5 Over -137 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 25 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Goals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Tom Lynch (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Tom Lynch is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 9 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.