Logan Gilbert (SEA) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Gilbert for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice based on his recent performance. His last five overall and away averages for strikeouts (8.2 and 9 respectively) are significantly higher than the line of 3.5. This indicates a consistent ability to exceed the proposed line. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are solid, with an away IP average of 6 and outs average of 18, suggesting he stays in the game long enough to achieve high strikeout numbers. His strikeout average against the Braves is also impressive at 9. His current hit streaks, both overall and away (21 and 12 respectively), demonstrate a sustained high level of performance. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Gilbert achieving over 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.
Chris Sale (ATL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chris Sale for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. Sale's last five games show a consistent pattern of allowing more than 2.5 hits, with an average of 6.2 hits overall and 5.6 hits at home. His innings pitched (IP) averages are also low, both overall (4.5) and at home (5.5), indicating that he's allowing a substantial number of hits in a relatively short time on the mound. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, 7 overall and 8 at home, suggest a trend of conceding hits. When faced with the Mariners, his average hits allowed is 6, which is well above the bet line. These statistics indicate a high likelihood of Sale allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Chris Sale (ATL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chris Sale for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Sale has averaged 1.4 walks per game overall and 1.2 walks per game at home. These averages are both above the 0.5 line set for this bet, indicating a tendency to exceed this threshold. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he is on the mound long enough to potentially allow a walk. Although his average walks allowed against this specific opponent is 0, the small sample size and his overall and home averages suggest this might not be a reliable predictor. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, also imply that he is not in top form. These factors make the Over 0.5 walks bet a statistically sound choice.
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