Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks: Data-Driven Targets

The reasoning for betting on Over 45.5 in the 'totals' market for this game is largely based on the scoring and yards data from both teams. The home team has averaged 23 points per game over the last five games, while the away team has averaged 24.8 points. This means the average total score is 47.8, which is above the line set for this bet. Furthermore, both teams have been gaining significant yardage, with the home team averaging 365.2 yards and the away team 345.6 yards, indicating strong offensive performances. The home team has also been allowing a significant number of points, with an average of 27 points scored against them in the last five games, which could contribute to a high-scoring game. Although there are some variables such as turnovers and explosive rate that could impact the total score, the consistent scoring and yardage data suggest that an Over 45.5 bet is reasonable.

Kyle Pitts (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165)

The betting data for Kyle Pitts in the 'player_anytime_td' market does not show a strong case for a positive outcome. Pitts hasn't scored a touchdown in his last 10 overall games, and his last 5 games at home or against the New Orleans Saints. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, implying a lack of recent success. His overall hit rate is notably low as well, with only 8 touchdowns in 60 total games and none against the Saints. Furthermore, he hasn't had any success in home games against the Saints specifically, with a 0/3 hit rate. Despite the model showing a small edge, the persistent trend of Pitts not scoring, particularly against the Saints, strongly suggests that betting on a touchdown from him in this specific game may not be a profitable decision.