Jeremy Cameron (Geelong Cats) Over 1.5 Goals (-400)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jeremy Cameron's recent performance, especially at home, indicates a strong likelihood of him surpassing 1.5 goals against the Brisbane Lions. With an average of 4 goals in his last 5 home games and a high goal accuracy of 58.3%, Cameron consistently makes his shots count. His ability to take marks inside 50 (4 per game on average) and be involved in scoring plays (8.2 score involvements per game) positions him as a key offensive threat. Additionally, his current hit streak of 7 at home and 3 overall showcases his form and goal-scoring consistency. Considering his strong stats and trend, backing Cameron to score over 1.5 goals is a sound bet for this matchup.
Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tyson Stengle is a strong candidate to score anytime against Brisbane Lions based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five home games, Stengle has shown consistent scoring ability. His 41.3% goal accuracy and 3.4 shots at goal per game further support his likelihood to hit the back of the net. Additionally, facing Brisbane in his upcoming home game where he has averaged 0.8 goals against them in the last five matchups enhances his scoring potential. Stengle's involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 7 score involvements per game, and his ability to create inside 50 entries make him a promising bet to snag a goal in this matchup.
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris is a strong bet to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions matchup. With a solid average of 2.4 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent he has historically scored well against, averaging 2.7 goals in their matchups, Morris shows consistent scoring form. His impressive goal accuracy of 53.1% away from home, coupled with a high average of 5.4 score involvements per game, indicates his active presence in the forward line. Considering his recent performance metrics, especially his 2 goals per game average, the model's prediction of 1.7 goals for him presents a reasonable expectation for him to continue finding the big sticks.
Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Oliver Dempsey is a solid bet to go over 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. His impressive average of 18 disposals in his last five home games, combined with his consistency in contested possessions (5.8 avg) and kicks (10.2 avg), make him a reliable choice. Additionally, his high disposalefficiency (68.6%) and ability to rack up metres gained (276.4 avg) showcase his impact on the field. With a streak of hitting this mark in all 16 recent home games and a 32-game overall hit streak, Dempsey's form is undeniable. The model's prediction of 17.1 disposals further supports this bet, indicating a 5.0% edge and a high implied probability of 88.5%.
Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Gryan Miers is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. His recent form at home showcases an average of 24.8 disposals over the last five games, well above the line. Moreover, with a model prediction of 21.9 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Miers has been consistently exceeding expectations, especially at home where he has a flawless hit rate in the last 10 games. His ability to find the ball, coupled with his high disposalefficiency and contributions in contested and uncontested possessions, makes him a reliable choice to continue this streak against the Lions.
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