Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pete Crow-Armstrong's recent performance data suggests that an under 0.5 bet on stolen bases is a solid choice. His last five overall and home games show a stolen bases average of just 0.2, significantly below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, his record against the Cleveland Guardians indicates no stolen bases in the last five matchups. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are relatively low at 1 and 2 respectively. This implies he is not frequently getting on base to even have the opportunity to steal. Finally, the lack of caught stealing (Cs) instances in his last five games overall, at home, and against the Guardians, indicates a conservative base-running strategy. This all points towards a low probability of Crow-Armstrong stealing a base in the upcoming game.

Colt Keith (DET) Under 1.5 Hits (-238)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Colt Keith for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a strong choice due to his recent batting performance and current hit streak. In the last five games, Keith's overall and away hits average is only 0.4, well below the line of 1.5. His plate appearances also average around 2.2 to 2.6, which doesn't provide many opportunities for hits. Even when considering his performance against the same opponent, his hits average is just 0.5. While Keith does have an overall current hit streak of 11 and an away hit streak of 5, these streaks do not translate into a high number of hits per game. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Keith to have under 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Under 0.5' bet for Nico Hoerner in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Hoerner's last five overall and home games show an average of zero stolen bases, implying a low likelihood of achieving a stolen base in the upcoming game. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate is higher than his stolen base average, indicating a riskier base-stealing strategy. Even when playing against the Cleveland Guardians, his stolen base average is below the line set for this bet. Despite his impressive hit streaks, they don't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Hoerner to have fewer than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

Xavier Edwards (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Xavier Edwards for stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Edwards has not stolen any bases in his last five overall games, as well as in his last five home games. This shows a lack of aggressive base running recently. Additionally, his average of caught stealing (Cs) at home is 0.2, suggesting he has been unsuccessful in a few attempts. Even when facing the Twins, his stolen base average is only 0.3, below the line set for this bet. Despite his current hit streaks, these do not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on Edwards' recent lack of stolen bases and occasional unsuccessful attempts, betting under 0.5 for his stolen bases is statistically justified.

Jose Soriano (LAA) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Soriano for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a good choice due to his consistent performance, especially when playing away games. Soriano's last five overall games show an average of 4.4 strikeouts, well above the bet line of 2.5. This performance improves in away games, with an average of 4.6 strikeouts. His innings pitched also increase in away games, from an overall average of 5.5 to 6.5, indicating he is likely to have more opportunities to achieve strikeouts. Although his performance against the Braves shows a lower average of 3 strikeouts, it still surpasses the bet line. Despite the current hit streak being zero, the consistent above-line averages suggest Soriano has a good chance of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Kyle Tucker (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Kyle Tucker's stolen bases is statistically sound, considering his recent performance. Tucker's last five games have shown a batting average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and at home, indicating that he typically doesn't steal more than half a base per game. This trend is even more pronounced against the Cleveland Guardians, where his stolen base average drops to zero. Furthermore, Tucker's current hit streak is non-existent overall and minimal at home, suggesting his base stealing opportunities could be limited. Also, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games shows that he is not taking many risks on the bases. All these factors point towards a low probability of Tucker stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a compelling choice.

Chris Bassitt (TOR) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided statistics, taking the over on Chris Bassitt for 2.5 hits allowed is a strong bet. His last five starts show an average of 5.4 hits allowed overall and 6 hits allowed at home, both well over the line of 2.5. The average innings pitched, both overall and at home, are also substantial at 5.5 and 5.2 respectively, indicating he typically stays in the game long enough to allow more hits. Furthermore, his current overall and home hit streaks stand at 61 and 44, demonstrating a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Even when considering his performance against the Yankees specifically, his average hits allowed is 4.5, still comfortably above the line. This consistent performance data suggests a high likelihood that Bassitt will allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro