Sonny Gray (STL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-294)

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Sonny Gray's recent performance data supports the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. In his last five overall games, Gray has averaged 0.8 walks per game, and this increases to an average of 1 walk per game in his last five home games. This is higher than the bet line of 0.5, indicating that Gray is more likely to allow more than 0.5 walks in the game. Additionally, Gray's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are fairly consistent across overall, home, and versus opponent stats, suggesting that his performance is stable and reliable. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further demonstrate his propensity to allow hits, which can lead to walks. Therefore, based on Gray's recent statistics, the Over 0.5 bet is a sound choice.

Logan Allen (CLE) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

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The bet on Logan Allen for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Allen has averaged 2.8 walks overall, and 3.2 walks when playing at home, both well above the line of 0.5. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages suggest he typically plays long enough into games to allow a walk. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, indicate a consistent pattern of allowing hits, which often go hand-in-hand with walks. Lastly, even though his walks allowed average against the Orioles is slightly lower at 1.7, it is still above the line. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's highly likely Allen will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.

Reese Olson (DET) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-417)

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Reese Olson's performance data strongly supports the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over his last five games, Olson has averaged 2 walks overall, 1.2 walks at home, and 1.7 walks against the Blue Jays, all of which are higher than the bet line of 0.5. His innings pitched averages also suggest he stays in the game long enough to potentially allow a walk. Furthermore, Olson is currently on a hit streak, both overall and at home, indicating that batters tend to make contact with his pitches, increasing the likelihood of walks. His tendency to allow walks, coupled with his hit streak, makes the Over 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

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The under 0.5 bet on Zach Neto for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice given his recent performance data. His average number of stolen bases over the last five games overall and at home is 0 and 0.2 respectively, both below the line of 0.5. Even against the specific opponent, the Seattle Mariners, Neto's average stolen bases fall under the line at 0.6. Additionally, the average number of times he's been caught stealing in the last five games is consistently zero, indicating a low frequency of attempted steals. Despite his impressive hit streak, Neto's stolen base stats suggest a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Therefore, betting under 0.5 for Neto's stolen bases is statistically justified.

Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)

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Luis Severino's recent performance data indicates a strong possibility of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Looking at his last five games, his overall average for strikeouts is 4.4, comfortably exceeding the 2.5 line. Even when focusing on away games, his average remains high at 5.2. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he will be on the mound long enough to achieve the required strikeouts, with an overall IP average of 6.4 and an away IP average of 5.6. His performance against the Houston Astros is also favorable, with an average of 4.2 strikeouts in the last five games. While his current hit streak is at zero, his historical averages suggest a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in this game.

Nolan Jones (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Nolan Jones for stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Jones' average stolen bases, both overall and at home, is just 0.2, well below the line of 0.5. This trend is even more pronounced when playing against the Orioles, with Jones not recording a single stolen base in their last five matchups. Moreover, Jones' current overall hit streak is at zero, indicating a potential slump in performance. Even though he has a home hit streak of 21, this doesn't necessarily translate into stolen bases. Additionally, there have been no caught stealing (Cs) instances, suggesting Jones isn't attempting many steals. Therefore, the statistical data strongly supports the under 0.5 bet for Jones' stolen bases in this game.

Logan Allen (CLE) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Over 2.5 bet on Logan Allen in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Allen has allowed an average of 5.2 hits overall, 4.8 hits at home, and 4.7 hits against the Orioles specifically. These averages are all significantly above the 2.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages indicate he typically stays in the game long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. The fact that he's currently on a hit streak both overall and at home further supports the likelihood of this outcome. Therefore, these statistics suggest a high probability that Allen will allow more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a promising choice.

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