Matt Chapman (TOR) Under 5.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to face the Phillies, all eyes will be on Matt Chapman, but don't be surprised if he falls short of the 5.5 total in hits, runs, and RBIs. The Giants' pitching staff has been nothing short of formidable lately, boasting a 3.20 ERA at home, making it tough for opposing hitters to find their rhythm. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's lineup has struggled against left-handed pitching, and with San Francisco's ace likely taking the mound, Chapman may find himself facing a smothering defense. Chapman’s recent form shows that he’s been making contact but not necessarily driving in runs or crossing the plate consistently. With the Giants focusing on pitching dominance and the Phillies’ offensive inconsistencies, it’s hard to envision Chapman reaching that 5.5 mark. The combination of stellar Giants pitching and Chapman’s recent trends makes the under a compelling play in this matchup.

Javier Assad (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Rays and Cubs clash, all eyes will be on Javier Assad. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, the matchup against Tampa Bay poses a unique challenge. The Rays are notorious for their disciplined approach at the plate, ranking among the top teams in the league in terms of plate discipline and minimizing strikeouts. Assad, with his current strikeout rate hovering below the league average, faces a lineup that rarely goes down swinging. The Rays’ ability to make contact consistently suggests they’ll frustrate Assad tonight. He’s been averaging just under two strikeouts per outing in recent starts, and with the Rays’ potent offense applying pressure, it’s hard to envision him surpassing that 3.5 mark. Given the trends and the opposing lineup's strengths, the under looks like the smart play here.

Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 2.5 Hits (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper, who has been a formidable force at the plate. However, recent trends suggest he might struggle against San Francisco's ace, who has a knack for silencing big bats. Harper’s recent form shows a dip in consistency, particularly against right-handed pitching, which the Giants will present. With San Francisco's bullpen also thriving, allowing just a .230 batting average to opposing hitters, it’s reasonable to expect Harper to have a tough time finding hits today. Additionally, the Giants' defense has been stellar at home, turning potential base hits into outs with impressive regularity. Given these factors, betting on Harper to stay under 2.5 hits feels like a calculated risk, especially with the mounting evidence favoring the Giants’ pitching prowess. It’s a game where even the greats can falter, and tonight might just be one of those nights for Harper.

Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper, but betting the under on his total bases is worth considering. Harper has been feeling the pressure lately, hitting just .220 against lefties this season. The Giants’ starter, a crafty lefty, has been particularly effective at neutralizing power hitters, boasting an impressive 2.50 ERA at home. Furthermore, Harper has struggled to find his groove in San Francisco, where the windy conditions often suppress offense. With the Giants’ bullpen also ranking among the top in the league for limiting extra-base hits, it’s easy to see why Harper might find it tough to string together those total bases. Given his recent form and the matchup dynamics, the under on 4.5 total bases seems like a smart play, especially as Harper faces a challenging night ahead against a well-rounded Giants pitching staff.

Luis Arraez (SDP) Under 2.5 Singles (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants gear up to host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Luis Arraez, and not just for his batting prowess. While Arraez has made headlines with his hitting, he faces a stiff challenge against a formidable Giants pitching lineup. The Giants, boasting a 3.45 ERA at home this season, have effectively stifled opposing hitters, particularly right-handers like Arraez, who thrives on fastballs. Recent trends show that Arraez has been held to under 2.5 singles in several matchups against top-tier pitching, and the Giants' bullpen has a knack for managing game pressure late in tight contests. With the implied probability leaning heavily towards the under, it feels like a sound bet to anticipate Arraez struggling to find those gaps against a disciplined San Francisco staff. In this matchup, it’s not just about the player, but the environment he’s stepping into—one that suggests fewer hits than usual for him.

Matt Chapman (TOR) Under 2.5 Hits (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to take on the Phillies, all eyes are on Matt Chapman and his recent performance at the plate. While Chapman is a talented hitter, he’s been facing a tough stretch lately, contributing to a significant dip in his batting average. The Giants’ pitching staff is no pushover either; they’ve allowed the fewest hits in the league this season. Specifically, their recent dominance at home has seen opponents struggle to find their rhythm, making it an uphill battle for any batter. On the flip side, the Phillies are coming off a series of games where they’ve struggled to capitalize with runners in scoring position, putting added pressure on Chapman to deliver. Given the tough matchup and Chapman’s current struggles, betting on him to stay under 2.5 hits seems like a smart move. With the odds stacked against him, this could be one of those games where he finds it hard to connect consistently.

Matt Chapman (TOR) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Matt Chapman, but here's where it gets interesting: the under on his total bases at 4.5 might be the smart play. While Chapman has shown flashes of brilliance, he's faced a daunting challenge against the Phillies' pitching staff, particularly with Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola's ability to generate swings and misses can stifle even the most accomplished hitters, and he’s been especially tough on left-handed batters like Chapman. Furthermore, Chapman’s recent performances have been erratic, often plagued by strikeouts when facing elite pitching. The Giants' offense as a whole has struggled to find consistent rhythm, especially against righties. With the potential for Nola to keep the ball in play and the Giants' collective inconsistency, it feels prudent to lean toward the under. Expect a tightly contested game where Chapman might just fall short of that 4.5 mark.

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