Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but I'm looking at him for the under on assists at 7.5. While his recent average of 8 assists may seem promising, let's dig a little deeper. In his last five games, he's only averaged 6.6 assists when playing away, and against the Suns, he's only managed 3.4 assists per game in their recent matchups.With his assist rate dipping on the road and the Suns' strong perimeter defense, it's tough to see Green reaching that 7.5 mark. In fact, he's hit the under in a remarkable 13 of his last 17 away games. The Warriors will likely rely more on their shooters, leaving Green to facilitate rather than rack up assists. The stats suggest it's a prudent bet to take the under here.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-213)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, keep an eye on Gui Santos for the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 23.5. Santos has been steady but not explosive, averaging just 14.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 3.6 assists over his last five games. When he's on the road, those averages dip further; he's putting up around 11.8 points and 4.2 assists away from home. Against the Suns, he's struggled historically, averaging only 7.2 points per game, and has hit this under in 6 of his last 8 away contests. With the Warriors facing a tough Suns defense, it's hard to envision Santos breaking through the 23.5 barrier. Given the current form and matchup dynamics, targeting the under on Santos feels like the right move.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-204)

As Desmond Bane steps onto the court against the Charlotte Hornets, there's a compelling case to expect him to fall under that 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists mark. Over his last five games, Bane's averaging just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists-far from the lofty total we're discussing. When looking at his recent home performances, he's managed 20.2 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists, but those totals still don't stack up to the line we're targeting.Against the Hornets, Bane's averaged 17.6 points in their recent matchups, and at home, he dips slightly to 16.2 points. With Bane hitting the under in four of his last five games and a perfect three-for-three in his last home outings, it's hard to envision him surpassing that 29.5 threshold. Plus, with an implied probability of 67

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 21.5 Points (-196)

In the upcoming clash between the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors, targeting Jalen Green for under 21.5 points makes a lot of sense. Green has averaged just 20 points over his last five games, and when facing the Warriors, this drops to around 9.6 points-an eye-catching figure that underscores his struggles against this particular matchup. At home, he's been slightly better with 14.6 points against Golden State, but given the Suns' tendency to spread the ball around and their defensive prowess, it's tough to envision Green breaking through the 21.5 mark. His recent performances tell a story of inconsistency, having hit the under in two of his last three outings. With a strong hit rate of 12 out of 17 at home, the numbers suggest this could be another game where Green falls short. It's not just about the averages; it's about the context, and here, the context favors the under.