Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Warriors head to Phoenix, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him to go over 7.5 assists might be a leap too far. Sure, he's averaged 8 assists over his last five games, but context is key. When playing away, that number dips to 6.6. Furthermore, against this Suns squad, Draymond has only managed an average of 3.4 assists in their last five encounters, and that number doesn't budge when he's playing on their turf.With the Suns' defense tightening and Green's recent form reflecting a slight decline, it's hard to envision him hitting that mark. His assist numbers have shown a hit rate of just 3 out of the last 4 games, and historically, he's only cleared this line in 4 of his last 17 away games. So, backing the under feels like a wise move as the Warriors look to adapt on the road.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-238)

When the Phoenix Suns host the Golden State Warriors, targeting Jalen Green for under 22.5 points feels like a savvy move. Green has been solid, yet he's averaged just 20 points over his last five games-his scoring tends to dip against formidable opponents like the Warriors, where he's only managed an average of 9.6 points in their last encounter. Even at home, his numbers haven't been overwhelming; he's clocked in at about 20.4 points per game in recent home outings.Moreover, the Suns have a strong defensive setup that's particularly effective against perimeter scorers. With a hit rate of 12 out of 17 games hitting under this mark, the odds favor a lower output for Green. Considering all this, betting on him to fall short of that 22.5 threshold seems not just prudent, but a reflection of a broader trend that's hard to ignore.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-222)

As the Orlando Magic prepare to host the Charlotte Hornets, all eyes are on Desmond Bane. While he's a dynamic player, the numbers suggest a more muted performance tonight. Over his last five games, Bane has averaged just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists, falling well short of the 30.5 mark when combined. At home, his averages dip slightly with 20.2 points and 3 rebounds, and against Charlotte, he's only managed 16.2 points and 4.8 rebounds. With recent form indicating he's hit the under in 4 of his last 5 games, and a perfect 3-for-3 at home, it's hard to see him breaking through tonight. The implied probability of 69% for the under provides a solid cushion, making this a smart play. Expect a tight contest, but don't count on Bane lighting up the scoreboard.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

As the Golden State Warriors get set to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but betting on him to go over 20.5 points and rebounds might be a stretch. Over his last five games, Santos has averaged just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, comfortably under that mark. When he hits the road, those numbers dip even further, with averages of just 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Against the Suns, he's had a tough time, posting only 7.2 points and 4.2 rebounds on average in their recent matchups. The pressure of playing away doesn't seem to phase him as much, but his history indicates he's hit the under in 6 of his last 8 road games. With the Suns' defense not giving up easy buckets, it feels like a smart play to take the under on Santos tonight.