Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As we dive into this matchup between the Suns and the Warriors, targeting Draymond Green for under 7.5 assists feels like a savvy move. While he's been a playmaker for Golden State, his recent outings hint at a dip in assist production, especially when playing away. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 6.6 assists on the road. Last season against the Suns, he averaged a mere 3.4 assists, and that trend continues to hold when he's on their court.Green's overall hit rate shows he's gone under this mark in 13 of his last 17 away games, and with the Suns' intensity on defense, we could see him struggle to find his rhythm. With the implied probability sitting at a compelling 72.5%, betting the under on Draymond's assists aligns perfectly with the current stats and dynamics of this matchup.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-238)

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to face the Golden State Warriors, targeting Jalen Green for under 22.5 points makes sense. Green has been consistent, but his recent performances, especially against this Warriors squad, tell a different story. In the last five games against Golden State, he's averaged just 9.6 points, and even at home, where he typically shines, his numbers hover around 14.6. Looking at his last 17 home games, he's hit the under in 12 of them. With an average of 20.4 points at home lately, it's clear he's not consistently exceeding that mark. Coupled with an expected stat value of just 14.91, it seems this matchup could stifle his scoring. Given the implied probability of 70.4%, it's wise to lean on the under as Green faces off against a Warriors defense well-versed in limiting his impact.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-233)

As the Orlando Magic prepare to host the Charlotte Hornets, targeting Desmond Bane for under 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a savvy move. Bane's recent form shows he's been averaging just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists over his last five games. Even at home, where he typically performs slightly better, his numbers only bump up to around 20.2 points and 3 rebounds, landing him well below our threshold.Historically against the Hornets, his averages dip further to 16.2 points and 4.8 rebounds at home, suggesting he struggles against this matchup. With a hit rate of 4 out of his last 5 games landing under this line, plus a solid home performance history-3 for 3 on the under-this bet feels like a smart play. Expect Bane to have a tough night against a gritty Hornets defense.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes are on Gui Santos, particularly when it comes to his points and rebounds combined. Targeting the under on 20.5 feels like the right call here. Santos has been averaging 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last five games, which falls well short of our mark. When he's away, those numbers dip even further to 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Historically, he's struggled against the Warriors, posting a modest 7.2 points on average in their recent matchups, and even less on the road. With a hit rate of only 3 out of the last 4 for this prop, and a solid 6 out of 8 away, it's clear that the stars may not align for Santos in this one. Expect him to stay under that 20.5 threshold as the Warriors tighten their defense.