Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate's contributions. However, betting on him to hit over 12.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a stretch. Over his last five games, Diabate has averaged just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists, totaling around 11.6-a solid number, but not enough to clear this line consistently. When playing away, his stats dip slightly, and against the Magic, he's averaged only 10.3 rebounds and 2 assists, which underscores his struggles in this matchup. With a hit rate of just 75% over his last four games and 66% away, the odds favor the under here. Expect a game where Diabate's contributions are limited, making the under on 12.5 a sharp play for Friday night.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets take on the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but the smart play here is to consider the under on his rebounds at 10.5. Diabate has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 8.6 boards over his last five games. However, when you zoom in on his away performance, that number dips to 8, and against the Magic, he's averaged just 7 rebounds in their recent matchups. With an expected value of around 7.93 and a hit rate of just 5 out of his last 6 games going under this line, the numbers suggest he's likely to fall short again. Particularly when playing away, he's been consistent in hitting the under. Given the matchup and his recent trends, taking the under on Diabate's rebounds feels like a savvy move.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors roll into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting the under on his assists at 6.5 could be the smart move. Sure, he's averaged a solid 8 assists over his last five games, but let's dig deeper. When playing away, Draymond's contributions have dipped to 6.6 assists per game, and against the Suns specifically, he's averaged just 3.4 assists in their past encounters. This matchup isn't just about Green; it's also about the Warriors' evolving offense, where he may not need to be the primary facilitator. With a hit rate of 5 out of 7 on the road for staying under this number, the odds seem to favor a quieter night for Draymond in the assist column. Given all this, a bet on the under feels like a calculated play as he navigates this challenging environment.

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