De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-175)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at De'Aaron Fox's rebounding stats, it's hard not to feel confident about taking the over on 2.5 rebounds against the Celtics. First off, at home, Fox has been a rebounding force, averaging a stellar 5 boards over his last five games in San Antonio. Not only that, but he's hit this over in 20 consecutive home games-talk about a streak! Against the Celtics, he's managed to grab at least 3 rebounds in their last five meetings, which is particularly impressive given Boston's size. Fox's overall hit rate is equally compelling; he's cleared this mark in 14 of his last 15 games. With an expected stat value of 4.47 and a solid implied probability of 63.7%, it feels like a no-brainer that Fox will easily surpass that modest 2.5 rebounding line. This is a prime opportunity to cash in on his home-court advantage.

Kyle Filipowski (Utah Jazz) Under 3.5 Assists (-169)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Kyle Filipowski, but the smart money is on his assists being limited. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 1.8 assists, and when playing at home, that number dips even further to 1.6. Against a Warriors defense that's notorious for clamping down on playmakers, Filipowski's average drops to a mere 1.3 assists in their last five encounters-he hasn't even logged an assist against them at home recently. With a remarkable 13 out of his last 14 games hitting the under on this prop, and a home hit rate of 6 out of 7, it's clear that the odds favor a low assist output. Given the expected stat value of just 2.19, taking the under on Filipowski's assists looks like a savvy play in this matchup.

Keyonte George (Utah Jazz) Under 8.5 Assists (-909)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tonight, as the Utah Jazz face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Keyonte George. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, the data suggests we should lean toward the under on his assists at 8.5. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 5.6 assists overall, and when the Jazz are at home, that number slightly ticks up to 5.8. Delving deeper into his matchup with the Warriors, George has only managed an average of 4 assists against them in their recent encounters, landing at 4.8 assists at home. With an impressive 10-for-10 hit rate in his last ten games, it's clear George knows how to distribute the ball, but expecting him to reach that lofty mark of 9 assists feels a bit too ambitious tonight. Given these trends, betting the under on his assists could be a savvy play in this matchup.

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