Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Peyton Watson has been on an absolute tear lately, especially when playing at home. With the Nuggets hosting the Mavericks, there's every reason to believe he'll continue his impressive form. Averaging 19.2 points and 4 rebounds over his last five home games, it's clear Watson thrives in the Mile High air. He's consistently found ways to score against Dallas too, averaging 11.8 points and 5 rebounds at home against them.What's even more striking is his perfect hit rate-20 for 20 overall, and an immaculate 12 for 12 at home. With an expected stat value of 23.2, pushing past 9.5 feels almost like a formality. The Nuggets are counting on him to step up, and given his current rhythm, Watson should comfortably eclipse that threshold. Don't miss this opportunity; it's a smart play with solid backing!

Peyton Watson (Denver Nuggets) Over 7.5 Points (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets take on the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes should be on Peyton Watson to exceed 7.5 points. Playing at home, Watson has been a scoring machine, averaging 19.2 points in his last five games at the Mile High City. He's found his rhythm, not just recently, but consistently-hitting the over in all 20 of his last games. Looking at his matchups against the Mavericks, he's averaged 11.8 points when they come to town, showcasing his ability to elevate his game in front of the home crowd. With an expected stat value of 17.07, it's clear he's poised to break through. The Nuggets are leaning on him, and given his track record, it's hard to envision a scenario where he doesn't surpass that modest point total. This one's a no-brainer; Watson's ready to shine once again.

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Chicago Bulls at home, all eyes should be on Joel Embiid for the points and rebounds prop bet of over 24.5. Embiid has been nothing short of phenomenal lately, averaging an impressive 29 points and 7.6 rebounds over his last five games. At home, those numbers soar to 34 points and 9.4 rebounds, making him a force to be reckoned with on his own court.The Bulls have struggled against him, with Embiid racking up an average of 30.6 points and 10.4 rebounds in their recent matchups. His home dominance is clear-he's hit this mark in all of his last eight home games. With a hit rate of 100% in his last 12 outings, Embiid is poised to deliver yet again. Expect him to surpass that 24.5 mark as he dazzles the home crowd on March 25th.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz prepare to host the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but the smart money may be on the under for his combined points and rebounds. At 30.5, this number feels a touch inflated considering Bailey's recent performance; he's surpassed this mark only 20% of the time in his last 20 games. When playing at home, he's been even more subdued, hitting the under in the same stretch. The Wizards, while not the league's toughest defensive unit, have shown improvement, particularly in their ability to limit opposing players' efficiency. With an expected stat value of just 20.78, Bailey seems set to fall short of that lofty total. If the Jazz continue to distribute the ball effectively, Bailey might find himself sharing the spotlight rather than dominating it. Betting the under feels like a savvy play here.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 24.5 Points (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz welcome the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but betters might want to consider the under on his points total of 24.5. Sure, Bailey has flashes of brilliance, but recent performances tell a different story. With an expected output of just 16.75 points, he's been more of a supporting player than a primary scorer. The numbers back this up: Bailey has hit the under in an impressive 16 out of his last 20 games, including every home game during that stretch. Facing a Wizards team that tends to tighten the screws defensively can further limit his scoring opportunities. The Jazz might lean on their offensive depth, distributing the ball rather than relying too heavily on Bailey. With his current trajectory and the matchup at hand, it feels like a solid play to expect him to fall short of that 24.5 mark.

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