Nick Martinez (CIN) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Nick Martinez has consistently allowed a high number of hits in recent performances. Over his last five games, he's averaged 5.6 hits allowed overall and 5.2 at home, well above the line of 2.5. Against the Padres, his hits allowed average rises even higher to 7. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's not lasting long in games, further increasing the chance of him conceding over 2.5 hits. Additionally, Martinez is on a six-game streak of allowing more than 2.5 hits, with a five-game streak at home. His recent performance trends, coupled with his specific history against the Padres, make the bet on over 2.5 hits allowed a statistically sound choice.
Dylan Cease (SDP) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Dylan Cease's recent performance data strongly suggests the Over 1.5 Hits Allowed bet is a solid choice. His last five overall games show an average of six hits allowed, far exceeding the bet line of 1.5 hits. Even when focusing on his away games, his average hits allowed remain high at 5.2. His innings pitched averages, both overall and away, hover around five, indicating he is on the mound long enough for the opposition to secure more than 1.5 hits. Cease's current hit streaks, 14 overall and 8 away, further affirm his tendency to allow hits. This consistent pattern of allowing multiple hits per game, regardless of location, makes the Over 1.5 Hits Allowed bet a statistically sound choice.
Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres : Over 5.5 Total Runs (-556)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Over 5.5' runs for the Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres game is a solid choice considering the recent performance data. The Reds have been scoring an average of 8 runs in their last 5 games, and 4.8 runs at home, both figures well over the 5.5 line. Additionally, the Padres have been scoring an average of 3 runs both overall and away, further supporting the 'Over' bet. The Reds' batting average of 12.4 hits overall and 7.8 hits at home, coupled with the Padres' 8.4 hits both overall and away, indicate a high potential for runs. Furthermore, the Reds have been allowing an average of 4.6 runs overall and 4.4 runs at home, while the Padres have allowed 3.4 runs both overall and away. These stats suggest a high-scoring game, making 'Over 5.5' a rational choice.
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