Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to pull down more than 13.5 rebounds could be risky. Sure, he's a rebounding machine, averaging 12.6 boards over his last five games, but his home performance shows a more telling trend. The big man has only hit the over in 8 of his last 14 home games, and against the Timberwolves, he's averaged just 13.2 rebounds in their recent matchups at home. With an expected stat value of 12.41, it seems the pressure of the matchup may limit his rebounding opportunities. Minnesota's frontcourt can be formidable, and Jokic might find himself more involved in playmaking rather than crashing the boards. Given the numbers, it feels like a solid play to take the under on his rebound total tonight.

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