Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but don't be surprised if he falls short of the 15.5 rebound mark. While Jokic is undoubtedly a rebounding machine, averaging 12.6 rebounds over his last five games, his home performance tells a different story. In fact, he's only eclipsed this total in two of the last 18 home games. Against the Timberwolves, he's averaged 14 boards, but that's skewed by an impressive showing in recent matchups. In the confines of Ball Arena, his average dips to 13.6, indicative of a possible regression. The Nuggets' style of play, paired with Jokic's multifaceted responsibilities, could mean fewer opportunities on the glass tonight. Positioned with an expected stat value of just 12.41, the under seems like a savvy play. Expect Jokic to contribute elsewhere, but not on the boards this time around.

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