Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 7.5 Assists (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Detroit Pistons and the Atlanta Hawks, Daniss Jenkins presents a solid case for the under on his assists total. While Jenkins has been averaging around 7 assists in his last five games, his output dips to just 3.5 assists at home against this specific opponent. With the Hawks likely focusing on limiting his playmaking ability, those numbers tell a compelling story. Historically, Jenkins' home hit rate is impressive, but he's only surpassed the 7.5 mark in 13 of his last 16 home games. It's also worth noting that he's only managed to dish out an average of 4.7 assists against the Hawks recently. Given his expected stat value of around 5, it seems wise to lean into the under for Jenkins. With the Pistons needing him to score more than facilitate, we're looking at a strong play here.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 24.5 Points + Assists (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When you dive into the matchup between the Detroit Pistons and Atlanta Hawks, Daniss Jenkins stands out as a prime candidate for the under on points and assists. Sure, he's been decent lately, averaging 16 points and 7 assists over his last five games. But at home, those numbers dip to about 14.6 points and 7 assists. Against the Hawks, Jenkins has struggled historically, putting up just 9.3 points on average in their last five encounters. When playing at home, that drops further to 7. Not to mention, he's only managed to clear the 24.5 mark in a mere 10% of his recent matchups-hitting the under 18 times in his last 20 games! Given these trends, it's hard to see Jenkins exceeding that threshold against a Hawks team that knows how to clamp down on scoring. Trust the numbers; the under feels like a solid move here.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Detroit Pistons host the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes will be on Jalen Duren, but betting on him to hit the over 34.5 points and rebounds feels risky. While Duren has been impressive lately, averaging 24.6 points and 10 rebounds over his last five games, his numbers dip when facing the Hawks, who've held him to just 18 points and 8 rebounds recently. At home, Duren's averages drop further to 20.8 points and 10.8 rebounds, indicating that he's not the dominant force one might expect. Plus, his hit rate of 8 out of 11 for this prop suggests a trend that favors the under. With the Hawks potentially tightening the screws defensively, this matchup could see Duren struggle to eclipse that 34.5 mark. Given these factors, taking the under on Duren's points and rebounds seems like a savvy move.

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