Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In a matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans, targeting Daniss Jenkins for under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. At home, Jenkins has found a rhythm that's hard to ignore-he's hit this under in 8 of his last 9 home games. While his overall hit rate stands impressively at 17 of his last 20 games, recent trends suggest he might be cooling off a bit.The Pistons' offensive setup often sees Jenkins as a secondary option, limiting his looks from deep, and with an expected stat value of just 1.2 threes tonight, we might not see him light it up. The matchup against a Pelicans defense that's been diligent in closing out on shooters adds another layer of caution. With the implied probability of hitting this under sitting at 48.1%, it's worth leaning into the narrative that Jenkins may struggle to find his rhythm tonight.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Pelicans, Jalen Duren's rebounding numbers are drawing attention, but the smart money may be on the under for his total of 12.5. While Duren has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging just 10.87 rebounds lately, he's been hitting the under in five of his last six games. Playing at home, he managed to clear this mark in only two of his last three outings, suggesting a trend that favors the under as he settles into a rhythm amidst the hustle. The Pelicans are no easy matchup either, typically limiting opponents' second-chance opportunities, especially with their length and defensive tenacity. With an implied probability of 57.5% favoring the under and a model edge pointing clearly against him, placing a wager on Duren to pull down fewer than 12.5 boards feels like a solid play in this matchup.

Derik Queen (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans prepare to face off against the Detroit Pistons, all eyes should be on Derik Queen, particularly for his points and rebounds prop set at 10.5. With a stellar hit rate of 14 out of the last 20 games, Queen has been a consistent contributor, showcasing his ability to dominate the boards and find his scoring touch, especially on the road. What's truly impressive is that he's achieved this away from home in every single one of those 20 outings. The Pistons, while a spirited team, have struggled to contain versatile forwards, and with Queen's expected stat value hovering around 14, the Over looks particularly enticing. With a model edge suggesting a robust likelihood of this bet hitting, it feels like a smart play to back Queen to exceed that 10.5 mark in what could be a high-paced matchup.

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Zion Williamson, the numbers tell a compelling story for his matchup against the Detroit Pistons. Averaging 21.8 points and 6.4 rebounds away from home in his last five games, Zion is heating up. Against the Pistons, he has consistently upped his game, dropping an impressive 31 points and snagging 7.5 boards when playing in their arena. What's more, his recent trend shows a solid 3-out-of-5 hit rate on this line in away games. With an expected stat value of nearly 30, it feels like Zion is primed to exceed that 26.5 mark. The Pistons might struggle to contain his explosive style, making this a prime spot for him to shine. With his capability to dominate both in scoring and rebounding, betting on Zion to go over 26.5 points plus rebounds seems like a savvy move.

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