Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Jalen Duren, but not necessarily for the rebounds he might pile up. With a line set at 12.5, it's worth considering the under. Duren has been solid lately, but his recent performances suggest a dip in production. Over the last five games, he's managed to stay under this mark consistently, hitting the under in all five outings. Playing at home, he's been slightly better, yet still fell short in one of four games. The Pelicans' frontcourt poses a unique challenge, often limiting second-chance opportunities and forcing opponents into tougher shots. With an expected stat value of just 10.93 rebounds, Duren looks set to struggle against a team that plays strong defense in the paint. Taking the under here feels like a savvy move as we anticipate a night where he simply can't grab enough boards to surpass that threshold.

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dejounte Murray is primed for a breakout performance against the Pistons this Thursday. Despite being on the road, he's been a dynamo lately, averaging 19.6 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games. But when the lights shine against the Pelicans, he steps it up, posting an impressive 25.6 points per game in their recent matchups. What's more, Murray's away game statistics bolster his case; he's averaging 17.8 points and 6.6 rebounds on the road, and against Detroit, he's been particularly effective, ramping up his rebounding to 6.8. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 away games, it's clear he thrives in hostile environments. Betting the over on his combined points and rebounds at 20.5 seems like a savvy play, especially considering his expected stat value of 23.72. Murray's poised to light

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Detroit Pistons welcome the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, but let's take a closer look at the three-point line. Harris has been solid at home, averaging 1.4 threes over his last five games, yet context is crucial. Against the Pelicans, he's only managed an average of 0.4 threes in recent meetings, and at home, he's only hitting 1 per game against them. Given that he's been under the 1.5 mark in 12 of his last 15 games, it seems the odds are stacked against him. This matchup also highlights a trend: his hit rate is significantly lower against New Orleans, making the under a compelling play at -135. With the Pistons looking to find their rhythm, expect Harris to focus more on facilitating than launching deep shots. Taking the under on his threes makes sense here.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins, particularly when it comes to his three-point shooting. Despite the excitement around him, betting the under on 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Jenkins has only managed to hit this mark in 16 of his last 19 games, with a 7 for 8 record at home recently. The Pistons' offensive dynamics, combined with Jenkins' average output of 1.37 expected threes, suggest that he might struggle to find his rhythm against a Pelicans defense that's been tightening up. With the implied probability leaning towards this under hitting at 47.6%, it looks like a strong opportunity to capitalize on. In a game where every shot counts, Jenkins may well find himself focused more on facilitating than firing from deep.

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