Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 7.5 Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins, particularly his assist total. With the line set at 7.5, it's worth noting Jenkins has consistently struggled to reach that number, especially at home, where he's only eclipsed this mark in 4 of his last 17 games. In fact, his overall hit rate in the last 20 games is impressive but misleading-16 of 20 is great, yet when you dig deeper, we see he often hovers around the 5.39 expected assists mark. Against a Pelicans team that can clamp down defensively, Jenkins might find it tough to distribute effectively. With an implied probability of just under 50%, taking the under seems like a smart play. Home court advantage might not be enough to push him past that threshold, making this a prime opportunity to capitalize on.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 35.5 Points + Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to host the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes are on Jalen Duren, but I'm leaning towards the under on his combined points and rebounds at 35.5. Duren's been a solid contributor, yet recent trends reveal a different story. Over his last 12 games, he's only surpassed this mark three times, indicating a notable struggle with consistency. Playing at home, he's been more reliable, hitting the under in 15 of his last 20 outings in Detroit. The Pelicans present a formidable frontcourt, which could limit his contributions, especially against bigger defenders. Given that the expected stat value hovers around 29.12, there's a solid case to believe we might see a quieter night from him. With the implied probability suggesting a greater chance that he falls short of 35.5, this under bet feels like a smart play.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons prepare to take on the Pelicans, all eyes are on Daniss Jenkins, but betting on him to stay under 29.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists could be a savvy move. Jenkins has been a standout lately, but recent trends suggest a cooling-off period might be on the horizon. His overall hit rate for this prop is an impressive 85%, yet at home, he's hit the under 17 out of his last 20 games-a clear indication that he thrives in a more limited role when the Pistons are at home.When you look deeper, his expected stat value hovers around 23.08, significantly below the threshold we're targeting. With the Pelicans providing a solid defensive challenge, Jenkins might find it difficult to replicate his usual contributions. Considering the context and his home performance, the under could very well be the smart play here.

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