Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tarik Skubal to allow over 1.5 hits in the game between Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians is backed by multiple statistical data. Skubal's last five games show an average of 5.4 hits allowed overall, and 4.2 hits allowed when playing at home. Against the Guardians, his average hits allowed is even higher at 5.5. This suggests that Skubal consistently allows more than 1.5 hits per game. Furthermore, his current hit streak is 27 overall and 14 at home, indicating a pattern of allowing hits in consecutive games. Even though he averages more innings pitched and outs at home, the high hit allowance average and hit streak make it statistically probable that Skubal will allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.
Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Tarik Skubal's recent performance data strongly suggests an over 3.5 strikeouts bet is a good choice. Across his last five overall games, Skubal averaged 5.8 strikeouts, well above the line. His home performance is even stronger, with an average of 6.2 strikeouts in the last five games. This trend is consistent when facing the Cleveland Guardians, with a 5.8 average. Skubal's innings pitched and outs averages also support this bet. He averages 5.6 innings overall, 6.4 at home, and 6.2 against the Guardians, all of which provide ample opportunity for strikeouts. Furthermore, Skubal is on a four-game hit streak overall and a two-game streak at home, suggesting his current form is strong. These statistics clearly indicate that Skubal is likely to achieve more than 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.
Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on Zach McKinstry for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is grounded in his recent performance data. Over the last five games, McKinstry's overall stolen base average is zero, indicating that he has not been successful in stealing bases recently. This trend is consistent across games played at home, against the opposition, and overall. His current hit streak, while impressive, does not necessarily translate into stolen bases. Furthermore, the opposition has not caught any player attempting to steal a base in the last five games, suggesting that they may have a strong defensive strategy preventing stolen bases. This combination of factors makes it statistically unlikely for McKinstry to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a sound choice.
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