Gold Coast Suns vs Essendon Bombers Prediction & Picks (Peter Wright Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

Joel Jeffrey is poised to excel in this matchup against Essendon based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to secure 20.2 disposals and averaging 21.2 in his last five home games, Jeffrey surpassing the 14.5 line seems probable. His strong disposalefficiency at 89.0% and ability to gain significant metres (496.8 on average) suggest he can maintain possession effectively. Additionally, his consistency with turnovers at just 1.6 per game boosts his chances of hitting this mark. Facing an opponent where he has averaged 20.3 disposals in recent encounters further strengthens his position. Considering his impressive overall hit rate and the home advantage, backing Joel Jeffrey to go over 14.5 disposals is a sound bet.

Ben Ainsworth (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)

Ben Ainsworth is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming match against Essendon. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games, Ainsworth boasts a high goal-scoring potential. His 51.7% goal accuracy and 2.8 shots at goal per game indicate a player in form. Additionally, his 6.6 score involvements per game suggest he is actively contributing to his team's attacking plays. Facing Essendon, against whom he averages 1 goal in his last five encounters, Ainsworth's recent performance and historical success against this opponent further support the model's prediction of 1.1 goals. This, combined with an edge of 1.8%, makes Ainsworth a favorable choice to hit the scoreboard.