Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Nique Clifford takes the court against the Golden State Warriors, we find ourselves in an intriguing spot to target the under on his three-pointers made, set at 1.5. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, averaging two threes against the Warriors historically, recent trends tell a different story. On the road, Clifford's average dips to 1.4, a stark contrast to his overall average of 1.8 in the last five games. Moreover, his recent form in away games has been solid but not overwhelming-he's hit the mark in all three of his last matches, yet the Warriors' defense is notorious for tightening up against perimeter threats. With an expected stat value of 1.25 and a hit rate of just 60% over the last 20 games, it feels like the under is the smarter play here. This matchup could see Clifford struggle to find his rhythm, making the under a compelling choice.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-139)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Devin Carter's matchup against the Golden State Warriors raises some eyebrows, particularly when it comes to rebounding. Averaging just 4.2 boards on the road over his last five games, Carter's numbers dip even lower against tough opponents. In fact, he's only managed a mere 2.7 rebounds per game against the Warriors in away matchups. With the Warriors boasting a potent offense, the likelihood of Carter getting pulled away from the paint increases, limiting his chances to grab boards. Historically, he's hit the under on this prop in 18 of his last 20 away games, showcasing a clear trend. Given that his expected stat value sits at just 3.83, it seems wise to lean into the under 5.5 rebounds. The odds are in our favor, and with the stakes high, Carter may not have the opportunities to cash in on this number.

Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings take to the court against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Nique Clifford and his rebounding performance. While Clifford has averaged 4.6 rebounds over his last five games, his numbers dip significantly against the Warriors. In their last matchup, he managed a mere zero boards while away, and overall, he averages just 1.5 rebounds against this opponent. With Clifford's recent away performances showing an average of 4.8 rebounds but a troubling trend against Golden State, the under on 4.5 seems enticing. The Kings will need to spread the floor, potentially limiting Clifford's rebounding opportunities. With only a 45.7% implied probability of hitting the over and a solid track record of hitting this under in recent matchups, it's clear that targeting Nique for under 4.5 is a smart play in this matchup.

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