Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 27.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Cooper Flagg heads into this matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, there's a compelling case to bet on him to finish under 27.5 points. While he's been an offensive dynamo with an average of 30.2 points over his last five games, the nuances of this matchup suggest a different narrative.Flagg has averaged just 23.4 points in away games lately, and against the Mavericks, he's put up 23 points in their last five encounters-well below the mark we're targeting. Even more telling, his away performance has been pristine, hitting the under in every one of his last 12 away games. Given that the Mavericks excel at tightening defensive schemes, Flagg's expected stat value of 21.88 paints a clearer picture. With the odds leaning slightly toward this under at 51.8%, it feels like a smart play to cash in on.

John Collins (LA Clippers) Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Clippers host the Mavericks, all eyes should be on John Collins when it comes to his points and rebounds prop. He's been on a remarkable run lately, hitting the over in his last four outings. With an average of 16.8 points and 5 rebounds over those games, Collins is just shy of the mark, but don't let that fool you. Against the Mavericks, he has consistently found his rhythm, averaging 16.2 points and 5.6 rebounds in recent matchups, which hints at potential growth in a high-pressure game. The Clippers' home court advantage could further boost his output, as he's been hitting 15 out of 18 at home. Given that the Mavericks concede an average of 20.2 points and 7.6 rebounds to opponents, Collins is primed to exceed the 17.5 threshold. With an expected stat value of 21.77, it feels like a perfect moment to back him for the over.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Clippers host the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting on him to fall under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists might just be the savvy play. Flagg's recent performances show he averages 6.2 rebounds and 3.6 assists over his last five games, landing him comfortably at 9.8-well below our target. On the road, those numbers dip further, where he's averaging just 6.8 boards and 2 assists against tough defenses. Now, facing off against the Mavericks, historically, he's not racked up impressive totals, hitting just 3.3 assists and 7.7 rebounds in their last five encounters. With a current hit rate of 3 out of 5 for this under performance, it's clear Flagg's contributions may not keep pace with expectations. Given these trends, banking on the under feels like a strong move as he navigates a challenging matchup away.

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