LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 9.5 Assists (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In tonight's showdown between the Lakers and the Thunder, targeting LeBron James for under 9.5 assists feels like a wise move. Sure, LeBron is a playmaker at heart, but recent trends paint a different picture. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 8.6 assists, and at home, that dips to 7.6. When facing the Thunder, his playmaking dips even further-averaging only 5.6 assists in their last meetings, with 6.6 at home.Historically, LeBron has hit the under on assists in 16 of his last 20 games, and impressively, he's only managed to surpass this mark in one of his last nine home games. With a solid expected stat value of 6.97 and an implied probability of 57.5% for the under, it's hard to ignore the narrative here. Tonight, we might just see LeBron focusing more on scoring than facilitating.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 32.5 Points + Assists (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, all eyes will be on LeBron James, but betting on him to go under 32.5 points and assists feels like the smart play here. Recent form tells a compelling story: in his last five games, LeBron has averaged just 18.4 points and 8.6 assists. At home, those numbers dip further to 16.8 points and 7.6 assists. While he tends to ramp it up against Oklahoma City, with 23.2 points and 6.6 assists at home in recent outings, the overall trend still leans heavily toward the under. His hit rate is telling too-18 out of the last 20 games have stayed below this line. Given the Thunder's defensive prowess and LeBron's recent home performance, it's hard to imagine him breaking through that 32.5 threshold tonight. Stick with the under; the numbers just add up.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 29.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Los Angeles, all eyes should be on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Fresh off a stellar stretch where he's averaging 30 points, including 31 on the road, he's in prime form as he faces the Lakers. Historically, he finds success against them, racking up an impressive 32.4 points over his last five matchups. What's particularly intriguing is Shai's away performance; he's hit the over on this number in 9 of his last 12 games on the road. With the Lakers struggling to contain dynamic scorers, it's a ripe opportunity for him to light up the scoreboard. Given his expected stat value sits at 34.25, there's solid rationale to believe he'll soar past the 29.5 mark. This matchup feels tailor-made for Shai to deliver another standout performance-don't miss out on this chance to back him.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro