Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+950)
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The bet on Nantes is a calculated risk based on Marseille's recent poor form. Despite Marseille's strong historical record against Nantes, their recent performance indicates a potential upset. Marseille's overall record in their last five games is 1-0-4, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game. This is in stark contrast to their performance at home, where they have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game. Nantes, on the other hand, have a scoring average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five games, which is higher than Marseille's overall average. Furthermore, Nantes' expected goals (xG) is 1.5, indicating they are creating scoring opportunities. Given these stats, Nantes could exploit Marseille's recent vulnerability, making this bet a worthwhile risk.
Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+950)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes is justified by their recent performance and the struggles of Marseille. Despite Marseille's strong home record against Nantes, their recent form is concerning. Over the last five games, Marseille has averaged 0.8 goals per game, compared to Nantes' 1.2. Moreover, Marseille's average expected goals (xG) is lower than Nantes' (1.22 vs 1.5). This indicates that Nantes is creating more high-quality scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Marseille's average opponent score (2) is higher than their own score, suggesting defensive issues. On the other hand, Nantes' average opponent score (1.4) is only slightly higher than their own, indicating a more balanced performance. Considering these stats, Nantes appears to be a good bet.
Marseille vs Nantes: Draw Moneyline (+550)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The draw bet for Marseille vs Nantes is a good choice considering both teams' recent performance data. Marseille's overall record in the last five matches is not very strong (1-0-4), suggesting they may struggle to secure a win. Nantes also has a mixed recent record (2-0-3), indicating they may not be strong enough to defeat Marseille. Moreover, the average goals scored by both teams in their last five matches are quite close (0.8 for Marseille and 1.2 for Nantes), reinforcing the possibility of a balanced match. Additionally, the expected goals (xG) data, which predicts the number of goals a team is expected to score based on the quality of their chances, also supports a close match (1.22 for Marseille and 1.5 for Nantes). Therefore, a draw seems a likely outcome.
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