Freddy Peralta (MIL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Freddy Peralta to allow over 0.5 walks is a smart choice, given his recent performance data. Peralta's average walks allowed over his last five games is 1.8, which is well over the 0.5 line. Even when looking specifically at his home games, his average walks allowed is 1.4, still above the line. Against the Pirates, his walks allowed average increases to 2.6, indicating a higher tendency to give up walks to this specific team. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, suggest he's in a phase where batters are connecting with his pitches more frequently, which could lead to more walks. Overall, the stats suggest a high probability of Peralta allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
Andrew Heaney (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Andrew Heaney's recent performance data strongly supports the bet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. His last five games have consistently shown an average of more than 0.5 walks per game, whether overall (1.2), playing away (1 and 1.5), or against the Brewers (1.2). This trend is likely to continue given the consistent rate of walks allowed across different situations. Furthermore, his average innings pitched and outs, both overall and away, suggest he typically stays in the game long enough to allow at least one walk. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further indicate a tendency to allow hits, which often correlates with walks. Therefore, based on Heaney's performance data, the bet for Over 0.5 walks is statistically justified.
Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Under 0.5 bet for Oneil Cruz in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong option based on his recent performances. Cruz's five-game overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is below the line of 0.5. This trend continues in his away games, with an average of 0.2 stolen bases. Furthermore, when playing against the Milwaukee Brewers, Cruz has not stolen a base in the last five games, further supporting the under bet. In addition, despite having a current hit streak, this has not translated into stolen bases for Cruz. Therefore, the statistical data suggests that Cruz is unlikely to steal a base in this game, making the Under 0.5 bet a solid option.
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