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NBA

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

+12.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +114 (2.14)
+12.9% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
Model Probability
59.6%
Implied Probability
46.7%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
7.9 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Rockets head into Los Angeles to face the Lakers, Alperen Sengun's rebounding numbers tell an intriguing story. While he's been a solid contributor on the glass, his recent performances suggest a dip in production that's hard to ignore. Averaging 8.4 rebounds over his last five outings, Sengun's numbers are even less reassuring when factoring in the pressure of an away game, where he's posted 9.4 rebounds on average. However, against this Lakers squad, he's historically managed just 10.8 boards in away matchups, a figure that's not quite enough to convince me he'll clear the 8.5 threshold tonight. With a hit rate of only 60% over his last ten and a dwindling overall output, the odds of him falling under 8.5 rebounds look favorable. It's a smart play to lean into the under as he faces a Lakers team that can be tough on interior players.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 50.0% (4/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 8.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 11.5 Under -435 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -294 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds Pending
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds Pending
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (4/8). The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.