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NBA

DeMar DeRozan

Sacramento Kings

+21.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 14.5 -137 (1.73)
+21.4% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco
Wed 8 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
79.2%
Implied Probability
57.8%
Model Edge
+21.4%
Predicted Value
19.2 Points

AI Analysis

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DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) Over 14.5 Points (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings gear up to face the Warriors, all eyes should be on DeMar DeRozan and his offensive prowess. Averaging a stellar 23.4 points in his last five away games, DeRozan has shown he thrives on the road, and he's been particularly effective against Golden State. Over their last five matchups, he's racked up an impressive 27.6 points against them, demonstrating his ability to exploit their defensive gaps.With his recent form, hitting the over on 14.5 points seems like a no-brainer. He's cleared this line in three of his last five outings, and when playing away, he hasn't missed a beat, hitting it in each of his last three road games. With an expected stat value of 19.22, DeRozan is primed to deliver once again as he leads the charge for Sacramento. This is the kind of matchup where he can shine, making the over a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
24 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets Assists 5.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
24 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts Pending
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts Pending
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for DeMar DeRozan is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors on Wednesday 8 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.