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Justin Edwards

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 11.5 +102 (2.02)
+20.5% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Fri 20 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
70.0%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+20.5%
Predicted Value
8.4 Points

AI Analysis

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Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 11.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Justin Edwards, but not for the reasons you might think. With a line set at 11.5 points, there's a compelling narrative building for the under. On the road, Edwards has averaged just 8.8 points over his last five games, which is a stark contrast to the 12.6 he's posting overall. What's even more telling is his dismal production against Sacramento, where he's managed a mere 4 points in their last five meetings, and notably, zero when playing in Sacramento. While his overall hit rate is impressive, the away games tell a different story: he's hit the under 16 out of his last 20 chances. With the Kings' defense tightening up at home, it's hard to envision Edwards breaking through that 11.5 mark. This matchup feels tailor-made for the under, making it a smart bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 28.6% (2/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Points 11.5 Under +102 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Assists 3.5 Under -149 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs + Asts 18.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings 3-Pointers Pending
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 28.6% (2/7). The latest model pick for Justin Edwards is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings on Friday 20 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.